St. Mary's (Cal.)
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
507  Edward Chance FR 32:59
670  Gabe Arias-Sheridan SO 33:17
708  Cormac McCullaugh SR 33:21
852  Zach Hansen SR 33:34
1,042  Noah McDermott SO 33:51
1,591  Mason Labadie FR 34:39
1,768  Raymond Boffman FR 34:56
1,835  Josh Spooner SO 35:04
National Rank #116 of 308
West Region Rank #16 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 98.4%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Edward Chance Gabe Arias-Sheridan Cormac McCullaugh Zach Hansen Noah McDermott Mason Labadie Raymond Boffman Josh Spooner
Capital Cross Challenge 10/03 1135 33:42 33:48 32:52 34:08 33:38 35:49
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/17 1166 33:38 33:17 33:42 33:35 34:48 35:03 34:41
West Coast Conference 10/31 1099 33:17 32:44 33:29 33:35 33:37 34:57 35:00
West Region Championships 11/13 1057 32:19 33:21 32:53 34:59 34:09 34:13 35:36





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.0 519 0.1 2.3 13.7 24.1 29.8 14.7 7.4 4.1 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Edward Chance 79.4
Gabe Arias-Sheridan 95.0
Cormac McCullaugh 98.3
Zach Hansen 109.2
Noah McDermott 123.1
Mason Labadie 167.1
Raymond Boffman 177.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 2.3% 2.3 13
14 13.7% 13.7 14
15 24.1% 24.1 15
16 29.8% 29.8 16
17 14.7% 14.7 17
18 7.4% 7.4 18
19 4.1% 4.1 19
20 2.2% 2.2 20
21 0.9% 0.9 21
22 0.4% 0.4 22
23 0.2% 0.2 23
24 0.0% 0.0 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0